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Abstract: We examine carefully the rationale underlying
the approaches to belief change taken in the literature, and
highlight what we view as methodological problems. We argue
that to study belief change carefully, we must be quite
explicit about the ``ontology'' or scenario underlying the
belief change process. This is something that has been
missing in previous work, with its focus on postulates. Our
analysis shows that we must pay particular attention to two
issues that have often been taken for granted: The first is
how we model the agent's epistemic state. (Do we use a set
of beliefs, or a richer structure, such as an ordering on
worlds? And if we use a set of beliefs, in what language are
these beliefs are expressed?) We show that even postulates
that have been called ``beyond controversy'' are
unreasonable when the agent's beliefs include beliefs about
her own epistemic state as well as the external world. The
second is the status of observations. (Are observations
known to be true, or just believed? In the latter case, how
firm is the belief?) Issues regarding the status of
observations arise particularly when we consider
iterated belief revision, and we must confront the
possibility of revising by p and then by
p.
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